Readers who want to dig into the numbers will find links to the underlying Census and IRS sources. The goal is to present a clear, neutral account that helps entrepreneurs, researchers and voters understand how widespread $1M+ receipts are and what the main data limitations are.
Quick answer and why it matters for the small business contribution to gdp
Short numerical takeaway
Across combined employer and nonemployer business units, fewer than 5 percent report $1 million or more in annual receipts when data from the Census are harmonized for 2022, a concise headline that frames the rest of this article and the small business contribution to gdp Annual Business Survey (ABS)
That overall share masks sharp differences. Employer firms show much higher incidence of $1M+ receipts, while nonemployer operations rarely reach that level. The nation-level percentage therefore tells one part of the story about the small business contribution to gdp and conceals industry and employer-status patterns that matter for policy and local expectations Statistics of U.S. Businesses (SUSB)
The small business contribution to gdp depends not only on the number of firms but on the distribution of receipts across them. When a small share of firms accounts for a large share of receipts, aggregate measures of output and job creation reflect that concentration, and policy or support programs aimed at small firms should account for how receipts cluster by employer status and industry Nonemployer Statistics (NES)
Get primary data and candidate economic priorities
For readers who want to inspect the primary federal tables, check the ABS, SUSB and NES pages to view the underlying revenue brackets and definitions; these tables clarify how employer status and industry affect national estimates.
How federal datasets define businesses, receipts and measurement units
Units of observation: establishments, firms, tax filers, nonemployers
Federal data use different units of observation. The Census treats establishments and firms differently, the NES counts nonemployer businesses separately, and IRS data report tax filers. Understanding those units is a first step to interpreting any headline such as the share of firms with $1M or more in receipts Annual Business Survey (ABS)
An establishment is a single physical location that produces goods or services. A firm may own several establishments. Employer firms are those that report payroll and show up in employer-focused Census tables, while nonemployers are sole proprietors or single-owner units without paid employees and are counted separately in NES Statistics of Income (SOI)
Some Census tables report receipts in brackets rather than exact dollar values. ABS and SUSB provide employer-focused bracketed data, NES reports counts and receipts for nonemployer units, and IRS SOI reports tax-based receipts that reflect filers and taxable income concepts. These differences change the denominator and the apparent share of high-receipt units Statistics of U.S. Businesses (SUSB)
Because these datasets answer related but distinct questions, readers should not assume a single percentage will match every table. Harmonizing across units requires explicit choices about whether to count establishments, firms, or tax filers as the primary unit of analysis. For more background see the Annual Business Survey overview Annual Business Survey program page.
To estimate a national percentage that covers employer and nonemployer units, analysts combine employer-focused ABS and SUSB tables with the NES counts for nonemployers and align the units so the numerator and denominator represent comparable business units. This harmonization produces the headline that fewer than 5 percent of all U.S. business units report $1M+ receipts in 2022 when the sets are combined Annual Business Survey (ABS)
The approach usually treats each business unit as one observation, whether it is a nonemployer or an employer firm, and applies employer-receipt brackets from ABS and establishment counts from SUSB to estimate how many employer units cross the $1M threshold. NES supplies the nonemployer counts and their receipt distribution so the whole economy is represented.
Using harmonized 2022 Census tables, fewer than 5 percent of all business units report $1M or more in annual receipts; employer firms are more likely to reach that threshold while nonemployers rarely do. This distribution matters because revenue concentration affects how much of GDP is attributable to small business versus a smaller number of larger firms.
That procedure involves assumptions. For example, employer tables may count firms differently than establishment-level SUSB tables, and NES reports nonemployer distributions in ways that are not always directly additive. Analysts therefore report a central estimate and a confidence interval or qualitative uncertainty statement rather than a single precise percentage Statistics of U.S. Businesses (SUSB)
Key limitations include timing differences across releases, variation in unit definitions, and sparse detail at very high receipts for some tables. The combined estimate carries harmonization uncertainty but is robust in showing that only a minority of business units reach $1M or more in receipts. Policymakers and researchers should treat the combined national figure as an informed estimate, not an exact count Nonemployer Statistics (NES)
For updated estimates, watch later ABS and SUSB releases and consult primary tables for industry-level breakdowns rather than relying on the single aggregate figure. Using multiple sources improves transparency about the assumptions behind the percentage.
Employer firms versus nonemployer businesses: who reaches $1M?
Comparative shares and what drives differences
Employer firms are much more likely to report $1M or more in receipts. Employer-focused Census tables suggest roughly 15 to 20 percent of employer firms report $1M+ receipts, reflecting the larger scale of firms that employ payroll and operate multiple establishments in some cases Statistics of U.S. Businesses (SUSB)
By contrast, nonemployer businesses-single-owner operations without payroll-have a very small share at or above $1M in receipts, typically well under 1 percent. This sharp gap helps explain why a national percentage that mixes both groups appears low: most U.S. business units are nonemployers and cluster at lower receipt levels Nonemployer Statistics (NES)
Compare employer and nonemployer receipts per establishment using primary tables
–
USD
Use values from ABS, SUSB and NES tables
For a solo service provider, the odds of reaching $1M in receipts are low based on NES distributions. For a small firm with payroll, the odds are higher but still dependent on industry and business model. The employer versus nonemployer distinction is therefore central to interpreting any statement about how many businesses make $1 million Annual Business Survey (ABS)
That distinction also affects policy and benchmarking. Programs aimed at ‘small businesses’ can cover very different populations depending on whether they target employer firms, nonemployer sole proprietors, or both, which in turn changes the expected distribution of receipts and the small business contribution to gdp.
Industry patterns: which sectors have higher shares of $1M+ receipts
Sectors with higher incidence
Census industry tables show that manufacturing, wholesale trade and certain professional services have relatively higher shares of firms with $1M+ receipts. These sectors more often have capital intensity, supply-chain scale, or billing models that support larger annual receipts Annual Business Survey (ABS)
Within those sectors, establishments that serve national markets or that sell to other businesses tend to reach higher receipts more often than local retail or personal service firms. Industry mix therefore explains some of the variation in how much of the small business contribution to gdp comes from a relatively small set of higher-receipt firms Statistics of U.S. Businesses (SUSB)
Many retail subsectors, arts and entertainment, and personal services feature large numbers of nonemployer operations and small establishments. Those subsectors therefore show lower shares of $1M+ receipts because sales scale and business models typically limit annual receipts Nonemployer Statistics (NES)
Drivers include local demand constraints, lower capital intensity, and business models that rely on time-based services rather than scalable product sales. These factors mean the small business contribution to gdp in these sectors comes from many small units rather than a few high-receipt firms.
Tax-based data and concentration: what IRS SOI shows
How tax statistics differ from establishment counts
IRS SOI reports receipts and income by tax filers and thus reflects the distribution of taxable entities rather than Census establishments. As a result, tax-based data tend to concentrate receipts among larger filers and do not map directly to establishment counts used in ABS, SUSB and NES Statistics of Income (SOI)
Interpreting IRS tables as if they counted establishments can overstate the share of entities with high receipts because corporate and large-filer data dominate tax aggregates. Researchers should treat SOI as complementary to Census establishment data, not as an exact substitute.
The concentration shown in tax-based distributions indicates that a relatively small number of large tax filers account for a large share of reported business receipts. This pattern underscores why establishment-based percentages are usually lower when nonemployers are included in the denominator.
For analysts, the takeaway is that tax statistics illuminate revenue concentration among filers, while Census sources show the count and distribution of establishments and firms across industries and employer status.
Common mistakes and methodological pitfalls when reading these numbers
Mistakes to avoid
Readers commonly conflate establishments with firms, mix employer and nonemployer units without adjustment, or treat tax filers as equivalent to establishments. Each mistake changes the implied share of businesses at $1M or more and can lead to misleading headlines Statistics of U.S. Businesses (SUSB)
Another frequent error is extrapolating a national aggregate to a specific industry or region without consulting industry-level tables, which often show very different incidence rates for $1M+ receipts.
How to check primary tables
To verify a claim, open the ABS tables for employer receipts brackets, the SUSB tables for establishment counts and industry breakdowns, and the NES tables for nonemployer distributions. Comparing the relevant cells and noting unit definitions will reveal whether the claim mixes incompatible series Annual Business Survey (ABS)
When reading secondary sources, look for explicit statements about which units are counted, which year is used, and whether the author has adjusted for employer versus nonemployer status. For related commentary and archive links visit the site news page news.
Practical examples and scenarios: reading the data for a local business
Example scenarios by industry and employer status
Scenario one: a solo service provider working alone with no payroll is typically a nonemployer. NES distributions show these operations rarely hit $1M in receipts, so a local solo provider should view national $1M statistics as unlikely without a change in scale or business model Nonemployer Statistics (NES)
Scenario two: a small manufacturer with a few employees is part of the employer firm population. Employer-focused tables indicate a substantially higher chance of crossing $1M in receipts, especially if the firm serves larger markets or has wholesale customers Statistics of U.S. Businesses (SUSB)
Owners should ask whether their operation is classified as an employer or nonemployer in Census tables, what the relevant industry benchmark is, and how many similar establishments in their industry report receipts near $1M. Those questions point them to the right ABS, SUSB or NES table for comparison.
Practical steps include finding the industry NAICS code, checking employer status in the business filing and comparing receipts brackets in ABS or SUSB tables for that NAICS code. For background on the author and perspective see the about page about.
What the numbers mean for entrepreneurs, researchers and policy discussion
Implications for entrepreneurs
Only a minority of businesses scale to $1M+ receipts, and the probability of doing so depends heavily on industry and employer status. Entrepreneurs should use industry-level ABS and SUSB tables to set realistic revenue benchmarks and to plan for growth in context.
Understanding that a small share of firms account for a large portion of receipts can help entrepreneurs identify whether scaling to $1M is typical in their sector or whether alternative business models are more realistic.
Limitations for policy use
Policymakers should not use a single national percentage to justify broad actions without dissecting industry and employer-status differences. The national figure can be a starting point, but effective policy design requires targeted breakdowns and up-to-date tables.
Researchers should request microdata or detailed industry cross-tabs from primary sources when studying growth probabilities rather than relying solely on summary aggregates.
Conclusion and where to find the primary federal tables
Short recap
Recap: fewer than 5 percent of all U.S. business units report $1M or more in annual receipts in harmonized 2022 Census tables, employer firms are more likely to reach that scale while nonemployers rarely do, and industry mix explains much of the variation Annual Business Survey (ABS)
Use ABS, SUSB, NES and IRS SOI primary tables for industry or regional breakdowns instead of relying on a single aggregate statistic if you need precise comparisons or policy-relevant detail Statistics of Income (SOI)
Links and next data releases to watch
Watch for updated ABS and SUSB releases that expand industry detail and refresh employer-receipt brackets. These releases will reduce uncertainty around harmonized national estimates and improve the evidence base for discussions about the small business contribution to gdp. See updates on the news page news.
Yes, the harmonized national percentage described here combines employer firms and nonemployer units; the nonemployer component is drawn from the Census NES series which counts sole proprietors without paid employees.
No, IRS SOI reports tax-filing entities and tends to concentrate receipts among larger filers; it complements but does not substitute for Census establishment and firm counts.
Industry-level shares are available in the Census ABS and SUSB tables and in NES for nonemployer counts; consult the primary tables for the specific NAICS industry of interest.
For research or policy use, prioritize industry-level cross-tabs and updated ABS releases to reduce harmonization uncertainty before drawing firm conclusions about the small business contribution to gdp.
References
- https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/annual-business-survey.html
- https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/susb.html
- https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/nonemployer-statistics.html
- https://www.irs.gov/statistics/soi-tax-stats-business-tax-statistics
- https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/abs.html
- https://michaelcarbonara.com/contact/
- https://michaelcarbonara.com/news/
- https://michaelcarbonara.com/about/
- https://michaelcarbonara.com/issue/strength-security/

